Alternative Cold War History 1994

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Ground forces of Serbia and Montenegro (VSCG)

The splintering of the ‘Former Republic of Yugoslavia’ (FRY) during the ‘Yugoslav Wars’ which are still ongoing in Bosnia and Croatia also tore the Yugoslav National Army (formerly JNA) to pieces. The bulk of the organized force remains under Serbian control and has been structured into the VSCG. This link provides a moderately redacted summary of the military situation as it stood in July 93.

The key divergence from the historical occurring in the Northern Fury world is that the influence and pressure from Moscow is even stronger than it was. Belgrade was actively courted to re-join the Warsaw Pact, which it is very likely to do at any moment and de-facto has in some ways. NATO, very aware and concerned over this possibility was somewhat more circumspect in its support of the independent Slovenian and Croatian governments and is now cautiously avoiding confrontation. UN, NATO and EU monitoring and peacekeeping forces remain in place in both Bosnia and Croatia, but the Soviet veto in the UN Security council has blunted the teeth of their mandates, hence there is a much less aggressive NATO stance and reduced forces.

The armies of the VSCG are arrayed as depicted in the map obtained at the CIA link above:

Structurally the VSCG is not unified, although based along Soviet designs there is little to no consistency and the forces exhibit a wide range of training, leadership and equipment. Some elements are battle hardened and very capable while some, primarily in the 2nd Army are little more than well armed gangs. Operations at higher than Brigade level will likely be challenging. Much of the equipment of the original JNA wound up in Serbia although there is some discrepancy and wide variations in some areas.

MBT T-72 M-84 27
M-84A 212
T-72M1 T-72M 60
T-55 T-55AM 1200
T-55H 282
T-34 Many In reserve
IFV BMP-1 M80A 995
OT M-60 551
BTR-50 120
BTR-60 80
TAB-72 40
Recon BRDM-2 50
BOV 317
Arty 105mm M-1 some Note that between 1200 and 2000 guns and MLR systems are in service in Serbia
M-56 many
122mm D-30 78
M-1938 72
A-19 some
2S1 72
130mm M-46 112
152mm D-20 20
M-84 52
ML-20 18?
M-1943 36? In reserve
155mm M-2 Some In reserve
MRL 122mm BM-21 348
128mm M-63 Plamen 38
M-63 Towed 300
M-77 Oganj 130
262mm M-87 Orkan II 16 Production continued beyond original 9
M-87 Orkan 50
AT 100mm T-12 300? Approximately
SU-100 20
AAA 30mm BOV-3/30 SPAAG 100
M53/59 Praga 789
57mm ZSU-57-2 100
SAM SA-2 S-75 some
SA-3 S-125 60 14 Batteries
SA-6 2K12 12 Batteries
SA-8 9K33 Some
SA-9 CA-95 48
SA-13 9M37M 18 Locally produced & upgraded
MANPAD SA-7 CA-94 Many Locally produced
SA-16 9K38 226
SSMs FROG-7 16